Tennis · WTA Mallorca · 13/10, 11:00
Prediction: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Ekaterine Gorgodze
Team pages: Lucia Cortez Llorca · Ekaterine Gorgodze
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Cortez Llorca
7-3 (W-L)
Ekaterine Gorgodze
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucia Cortez Llorca 1560 · Ekaterine Gorgodze 1531
| Lucia Cortez Llorca | Ekaterine Gorgodze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lucia Cortez Llorca makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Lucia Cortez Llorca | Ekaterine Gorgodze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.2 | 12.1-12.8 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 7 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 54.4% |
| Break % | 62.7% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W35 Seville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Angelica Sara W35 Seville |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Kira Pavlova W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 12/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Victoria Gomez O'Hayon W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 24/09 | Barbora Palicova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Laura Pigossi WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 18/09 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 15/09 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 27/08 | Gabriela Knutson US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Despina Papamichail US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Katarzyna Kawa US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 09/08 | Hanne Vandewinkel W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Ekaterine Gorgodze?
Our model gives 56% to Ekaterine Gorgodze, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.