Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 12/10, 04:00
Prediction: Corban Crowther vs Ye Hongyu
Team pages: Corban Crowther · Ye Hongyu
Prediction summary
Winner
Corban Crowther
Ye Hongyu
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Corban Crowther
2-8 (W-L)
Ye Hongyu
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Corban Crowther
1–0
Ye Hongyu
(1 last)
- 10 Sept2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Corban Crowther 1474 · Ye Hongyu 1437
| Corban Crowther | Ye Hongyu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Corban Crowther 1–0 Ye Hongyu (1).
Statistics
| Corban Crowther | Ye Hongyu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-11 | 8.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 30.1% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Corban Crowther 1 – 0 Ye Hongyu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Corban Crowther 1–0 Ye Hongyu
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/24 ITF M25 Bali | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Corban Crowther
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Bali |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Nick Beamish M15 Bali |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Keishi Hashimoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Ye Hongyu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Chun-Chien Hou M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Matvey Greschner M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/05 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Uisung Park M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Wenze Li M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 15/04 | Xiaofei Wang M25 Anning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 08/04 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Wenze Li M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Corban Crowther vs Ye Hongyu?
Our model gives 65% to Corban Crowther, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.