Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 12/10, 04:00
Prediction: Maksim Shin vs Zhenxiong Dong
Team pages: Maksim Shin · Zhenxiong Dong
Prediction summary
Winner
Maksim Shin
Zhenxiong Dong
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maksim Shin
4-6 (W-L)
Zhenxiong Dong
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maksim Shin
0–1
Zhenxiong Dong
(1 last)
- 07 Apr0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maksim Shin 1459 · Zhenxiong Dong 1421
| Maksim Shin | Zhenxiong Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Maksim Shin 0–1 Zhenxiong Dong (1).
- Note: Maksim Shin makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Maksim Shin | Zhenxiong Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11 | 9.8-12.6 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 33.5% | 29.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Maksim Shin 0 – 1 Zhenxiong Dong (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maksim Shin 0–1 Zhenxiong Dong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 M25 Maanshan | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maksim Shin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Tomohiro Masabayashi M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Leo Borg M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/09 | Hao-Yu Lin M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Harrison Satara M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Miles Jones M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Alessandro Coccioli M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Cagan Efe Tufekci M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Udit Kamboj M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Zhenxiong Dong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Xin Zhou M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Guiyang |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Matthew Shearer M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 25/08 | Lingxi Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Zhao Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 09/06 | Jaesung Choe M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Alexey Aleshchev M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Shu Muto M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maksim Shin vs Zhenxiong Dong?
Our model gives 54% to Maksim Shin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.