Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 11/10, 14:30
Prediction: Timeo Trufelli vs Thijs Boogaard
Team pages: Timeo Trufelli · Thijs Boogaard
Prediction summary
Winner
Timeo Trufelli
Thijs Boogaard
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Timeo Trufelli
4-6 (W-L)
Thijs Boogaard
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timeo Trufelli 1501 · Thijs Boogaard 1478
| Timeo Trufelli | Thijs Boogaard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Timeo Trufelli | Thijs Boogaard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.2 | 9.6-10.7 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timeo Trufelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Adrien Gobat M15 Rodez |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Gijs Brouwer M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/09 | Arthur Nagel M15 Forbach |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Louis Van Herck M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Attila Hueller-Varga M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 16/09 | Hugo Car M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Antoine Walch M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Matiej Reiter M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Evan Jarzaguet M25 Plaisir |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Liam Branger M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Thijs Boogaard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 27/09 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Lucas Renard M25 Falun |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Love Nyqvist M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/09 | Sergey Petrov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Conor Gannon M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Zian Vanderstappen M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timeo Trufelli vs Thijs Boogaard?
Our model gives 65% to Thijs Boogaard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.