Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 11/10, 16:00
Prediction: Norbert Gombos vs Mickael Kaouk
Team pages: Norbert Gombos · Mickael Kaouk
Prediction summary
Winner
Norbert Gombos
Mickael Kaouk
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Norbert Gombos
6-4 (W-L)
Mickael Kaouk
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Norbert Gombos 1530 · Mickael Kaouk 1489
| Norbert Gombos | Mickael Kaouk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Norbert Gombos (rating 1530 vs 1489).
- Note: Mickael Kaouk makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Norbert Gombos | Mickael Kaouk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.4 | 10-10.8 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 77.3% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Norbert Gombos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas Davis Cup |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Olle Wallin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Alexander Wagner Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Andrea De Marchi Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Mickael Kaouk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Nicolas Ifi M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Matt Ponchet M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Justas Trainauskas M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Norbert Gombos vs Mickael Kaouk?
Our model gives 67% to Norbert Gombos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.