Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 11/10, 10:00
Prediction: Tom Paris vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Team pages: Tom Paris · Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Prediction summary
Winner
Tom Paris
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Paris
5-5 (W-L)
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tom Paris 1441 · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1531
| Tom Paris | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanis Ghazouani Durand (rating 1441 vs 1531).
- Yanis Ghazouani Durand is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Yanis Ghazouani Durand makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Tom Paris | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-12.1 | 11.4-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 32.9% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tom Paris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Yunseong Chung Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 06/04 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 20/03 | Raphael Perot M25 Toulouse |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 19/03 | Kenny de Schepper M25 Toulouse |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/03 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Toulouse |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 10/03 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Cherbourg · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/09 | Emile Hudd Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/09 | Karl Poling Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Nikola Slavic Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/09 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tom Paris vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand?
Our model gives 58% to Yanis Ghazouani Durand, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.