Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Mika Brunold vs Mathys Domenc
Team pages: Mika Brunold · Mathys Domenc
Prediction summary
Winner
Mika Brunold
Mathys Domenc
Estimated games
23.2Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Brunold
8-2 (W-L)
Mathys Domenc
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mika Brunold 1581 · Mathys Domenc 1526
| Mika Brunold | Mathys Domenc | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Brunold (rating 1581 vs 1526).
Statistics
| Mika Brunold | Mathys Domenc | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.6 | 12-10.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3.7
Over 19.5: 74% · 1.80
Under 19.5: 26% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mika Brunold
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Filip Misolic Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/09 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Mathys Domenc
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Giulio Perego M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Daniel Jade Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 20/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Kyle Overmyer M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/08 | Daniel Jade M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 28/08 | Robin Bertrand M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Mahmoud Chetouane M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Toby Martin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mika Brunold vs Mathys Domenc?
Our model gives 72% to Mika Brunold, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.