Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Gauthier Onclin vs Felix Balshaw
Team pages: Gauthier Onclin · Felix Balshaw
Prediction summary
Winner
Gauthier Onclin
Felix Balshaw
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gauthier Onclin
4-6 (W-L)
Felix Balshaw
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gauthier Onclin 1471 · Felix Balshaw 1549
| Gauthier Onclin | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felix Balshaw (rating 1471 vs 1549).
- Felix Balshaw is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gauthier Onclin | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.9 | 14.2-13.8 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 8.4 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 37.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.1
Over 22.5: 58% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 42% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gauthier Onclin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Dan Added Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Jurij Rodionov Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Raphael Perot Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Vitaliy Sachko US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Felix Balshaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 02/10 | Henry Bernet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 29/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 08/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gauthier Onclin vs Felix Balshaw?
Our model gives 59% to Felix Balshaw, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.