Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Remy Bertola vs Otto Virtanen
Team pages: Remy Bertola · Otto Virtanen
Prediction summary
Winner
Remy Bertola
Otto Virtanen
Estimated games
24.7Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Remy Bertola
4-6 (W-L)
Otto Virtanen
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Remy Bertola
0–2
Otto Virtanen
(2 last)
- 05 Mar0-2 8-13L
- 21 Aug0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Remy Bertola 1466 · Otto Virtanen 1485
| Remy Bertola | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Otto Virtanen dominates on serve: 11 aces and 44.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Remy Bertola 0–2 Otto Virtanen (2).
- Note: Remy Bertola makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Otto Virtanen makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Remy Bertola | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-13.9 | 13.2-13.2 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 11 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.2
Over 21.5: 71% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 29% · 1.90
H2H · Remy Bertola 0 – 2 Otto Virtanen (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Remy Bertola 0–2 Otto Virtanen
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/24 Challenger Lugano | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08/21 M25 Muttenz | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Remy Bertola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Alexandre Reco Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Davis Cup |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 03/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Jerome Kym Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Andre Ilagan ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Otto Virtanen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Valentin Vacherot Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Lucas Catarina Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | Andrey Rublev US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 22-31 | L |
| 26/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Ugo Blanchet US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Vignesh Gogineni ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Remy Bertola vs Otto Virtanen?
Our model gives 62% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.