Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Liam Broady
Team pages: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg · Liam Broady
Prediction summary
Winner
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Liam Broady
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
6-4 (W-L)
Liam Broady
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 1622 · Liam Broady 1413
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Liam Broady | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 23% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (rating 1622 vs 1413).
- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg dominates on serve: 9 aces and 46.5% break avg.
- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Liam Broady | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 0% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.2 | 11.2-13.4 |
| Aces | 9 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 80.9% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 30.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.6
Over 22.5: 46% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 54% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Clement Tabur Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Liam Broady
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Marco Cecchinato US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Ozan Baris Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Liam Broady?
Our model gives 71% to Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.