Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Matteo Martineau vs Max Schoenhaus
Team pages: Matteo Martineau · Max Schoenhaus
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Martineau
Max Schoenhaus
Estimated games
24Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Martineau
6-4 (W-L)
Max Schoenhaus
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matteo Martineau
1–0
Max Schoenhaus
(1 last)
- 16 Sept2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Martineau 1507 · Max Schoenhaus 1503
| Matteo Martineau | Max Schoenhaus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Max Schoenhaus dominates on serve: 7 aces and 48.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Matteo Martineau 1–0 Max Schoenhaus (1).
- Note: Matteo Martineau makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Matteo Martineau | Max Schoenhaus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12.8 | 13.1-11.7 |
| Aces | 9.1 | 7 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 30.5% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.5
Over 22.5: 60% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 40% · 1.83
H2H · Matteo Martineau 1 – 0 Max Schoenhaus (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matteo Martineau 1–0 Max Schoenhaus
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/26 Challenger Rennes | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Martineau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 21/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Billy Blaydes Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Max Schoenhaus
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Patrick Brady Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Daniel Masur Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Marko Topo Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Martineau vs Max Schoenhaus?
Our model gives 56% to Max Schoenhaus, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.