Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Jade
Team pages: Hugo Gaston · Daniel Jade
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Gaston
Daniel Jade
Estimated games
22.2Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Gaston
5-5 (W-L)
Daniel Jade
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Gaston 1524 · Daniel Jade 1546
| Hugo Gaston | Daniel Jade | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Hugo Gaston | Daniel Jade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.7 | 11.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.7
Over 20.5: 61% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 39% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Gaston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Liam Draxl ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Andrey Rublev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 25/09 | Jaime Faria ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/09 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Daniil Medvedev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 28/08 | Colton Smith US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Andre Ilagan US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Guido Ivan Justo US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Daniel Jade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Adrien Gobat M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Etienne Donnet M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Kenny de Schepper M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Mathys Domenc Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 20/09 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/08 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Mathys Domenc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Rahul Dhokia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Jade?
Our model gives 63% to Hugo Gaston, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.