Tennis · WTA Mallorca · 11/10, 11:30
Prediction: Daria Yesypchuk vs Marie Vogt
Team pages: Daria Yesypchuk · Marie Vogt
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Yesypchuk
Marie Vogt
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Yesypchuk
6-4 (W-L)
Marie Vogt
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Yesypchuk 1512 · Marie Vogt 1496
| Daria Yesypchuk | Marie Vogt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daria Yesypchuk | Marie Vogt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.2 | 11.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 55.2% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Yesypchuk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Yasmine Kabbaj W35 Seville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Ida Wobker W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Giulia Paterno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/09 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/09 | Sara Milanese W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/09 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Merel Hoedt W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Margaux Maquet W50 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Marie Vogt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Lidia Encheva W50 Burgas |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 22/09 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Ekaterina Yashina WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Ashmitha Easwaramurthi WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/08 | Pia Lovric W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Valentina Steiner W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Polina Skliar W35 Erwitte |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/08 | Laima Vladson W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Berfu Cengiz W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Yesypchuk vs Marie Vogt?
Our model gives 51% to Marie Vogt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.