Prediction: Alex Hernandez vs Mario Andre Galarraga
Team pages: Alex Hernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Hernandez
Mario Andre Galarraga
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Hernandez
5-5 (W-L)
Mario Andre Galarraga
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Hernandez 1475 · Mario Andre Galarraga 1436
| Alex Hernandez | Mario Andre Galarraga | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mario Andre Galarraga makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Alex Hernandez | Mario Andre Galarraga | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.7 | 7.5-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 53.8% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Hernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Cem Ilkel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 02/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Alan Magadan ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Nick Hardt Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Mario Andre Galarraga
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Niels Peter Van Noord M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Rodrigo Garza M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Andres Urrea M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/04 | Juan Sebastian Gomez M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 20/01 | Enzo Rimoli M25 Santiago |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/01 | Jose Luis Claro M25 Santiago |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Hernandez vs Mario Andre Galarraga?
Our model gives 75% to Alex Hernandez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.