Tennis · Challenger Porto · 04/10, 12:00
Prediction: Henrique Rocha vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Team pages: Henrique Rocha · Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Prediction summary
Winner
Henrique Rocha
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Henrique Rocha
8-2 (W-L)
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henrique Rocha 1557 · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1574
| Henrique Rocha | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Henrique Rocha | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9 | 12.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 37.6% | 52.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henrique Rocha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | August Holmgren Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Michael Mmoh US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Seong Chan Hong Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Setubal |
1-0 | 10-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henrique Rocha vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre?
Our model gives 59% to Henrique Rocha, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.