Tennis · Challenger Porto · 02/10, 12:00
Prediction: Daniel Rincon vs David Jorda Sanchis
Team pages: Daniel Rincon · David Jorda Sanchis
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Rincon
David Jorda Sanchis
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Rincon
6-4 (W-L)
David Jorda Sanchis
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daniel Rincon
1–1
David Jorda Sanchis
(2 last)
- 04 Jul1-2 17-16L
- 22 Nov2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Rincon 1504 · David Jorda Sanchis 1459
| Daniel Rincon | David Jorda Sanchis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Rincon (rating 1504 vs 1459).
- Daniel Rincon dominates on serve: 7 aces and 41.4% break avg.
- David Jorda Sanchis dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 45% break avg.
Statistics
| Daniel Rincon | David Jorda Sanchis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.6 | 10.9-12.4 |
| Aces | 7 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Daniel Rincon 1 – 1 David Jorda Sanchis (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Rincon 1–1 David Jorda Sanchis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/23 Challenger Troyes | 1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 22/11/20 ITF M15 Benicarlo | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Rincon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/09 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Jordan Lee US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
David Jorda Sanchis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Dusan Lajovic US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Henri Squire US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Rincon vs David Jorda Sanchis?
Our model gives 63% to Daniel Rincon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.