Tennis · Challenger Porto · 02/10, 12:00
Prediction: Hugo Grenier vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Team pages: Hugo Grenier · Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Grenier
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Grenier
5-5 (W-L)
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Grenier 1512 · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1553
| Hugo Grenier | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inaki Montes-De La Torre (rating 1512 vs 1553).
- Hugo Grenier dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 43.6% break avg.
- Note: Hugo Grenier makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Hugo Grenier | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.8 | 12.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Grenier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Christian Langmo Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Roman Safiullin ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Setubal |
1-0 | 10-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 05/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 03/09 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Grenier vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre?
Our model gives 56% to Inaki Montes-De La Torre, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.