Tennis · ATP Tokyo · 04/10, 04:00

Prediction: Jiri Lehecka vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Team pages: Jiri Lehecka · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Jiri Lehecka Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Estimated games
24.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jiri Lehecka 7-3 (W-L)
LWLWWWWWWL
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jiri Lehecka 1549 · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1561
Jiri LeheckaAdolfo Daniel Vallejo
Our model48%52%
Market68%32%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jiri LeheckaAdolfo Daniel Vallejo
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 63% (8) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.8-1.11.5-1.2
Games (G-P)15-13.413.4-12.8
Aces7.33.8
Double faults32.1
1st serve %76.3%71.1%
Break %37%42.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.7 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.2
Over 22.5: 65% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 35% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jiri Lehecka

LWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/10 Ugo Humbert
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
01/10 Zizou Bergs
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
19/09 Learner Tien
Davis Cup
2-0 13-8 W
18/09 Ben Shelton
Davis Cup
2-0 12-8 W
04/09 Stefanos Tsitsipas
US Open · Hard
1-3 14-21 L
03/09 Toby Samuel
US Open · Hard
3-0 18-10 W
30/08 Pablo Carreno Busta
US Open · Hard
3-1 23-15 W
18/08 Arthur Fils
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 11-18 L
16/08 Matteo Berrettini
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
09/08 Rafael Jodar
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

LWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/10 Matteo Berrettini
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
01/10 Rafael Jodar
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
29/09 Jaime Faria
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-1 18-16 W
28/09 Taro Daniel
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
26/09 Coleman Wong
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
24/09 Jie Cui
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
2-1 18-12 W
19/09 Ignacio Buse
Davis Cup
2-1 19-18 W
19/09 Juan Pablo Varillas
Davis Cup
1-2 16-18 L
02/09 Gael Monfils
US Open · Hard
1-3 9-20 L
25/08 Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jiri Lehecka vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo?

Our model gives 59% to Jiri Lehecka, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.