Prediction: Ugo Humbert vs Jiri Lehecka
Team pages: Ugo Humbert · Jiri Lehecka
Prediction summary
Winner
Ugo Humbert
Jiri Lehecka
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ugo Humbert
7-3 (W-L)
Jiri Lehecka
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ugo Humbert
1–0
Jiri Lehecka
(1 last)
- 25 Feb2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ugo Humbert 1494 · Jiri Lehecka 1548
| Ugo Humbert | Jiri Lehecka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiri Lehecka (rating 1494 vs 1548).
- Head-to-head: Ugo Humbert 1–0 Jiri Lehecka (1).
- Note: Ugo Humbert makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Ugo Humbert | Jiri Lehecka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.8-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.5 | 14.5-12.6 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 6 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 75.2% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 53% · 2.00
Under 23.5: 47% · 1.72
H2H · Ugo Humbert 1 – 0 Jiri Lehecka (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ugo Humbert 1–0 Jiri Lehecka
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/25 ATP Dubai | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ugo Humbert
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Ben Shelton ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Andres Martin ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Zizou Bergs Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 22-26 | L |
| 28/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Quentin Halys ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Jiri Lehecka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/09 | Learner Tien Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Ben Shelton Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-21 | L |
| 03/09 | Toby Samuel US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Pablo Carreno Busta US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/08 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 09/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Alexander Blockx ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ugo Humbert vs Jiri Lehecka?
Our model gives 61% to Jiri Lehecka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.