Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 02/10, 02:00
Prediction: Kotaro Mochizuki vs Corban Crowther
Team pages: Kotaro Mochizuki · Corban Crowther
Prediction summary
Winner
Kotaro Mochizuki
Corban Crowther
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Kotaro Mochizuki
7-3 (W-L)
Corban Crowther
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kotaro Mochizuki 1585 · Corban Crowther 1518
| Kotaro Mochizuki | Corban Crowther | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kotaro Mochizuki (rating 1585 vs 1518).
- Kotaro Mochizuki is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kotaro Mochizuki | Corban Crowther | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.3 | 9.7-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kotaro Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Masaki Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Jacob Kailiang Shen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Hong-Lin Fu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Corban Crowther
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Bali |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Nick Beamish M15 Bali |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Keishi Hashimoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Manato Uchida UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/08 | Christopher Kosei Ono UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/08 | Taichi Wakamatsu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kotaro Mochizuki vs Corban Crowther?
Our model gives 57% to Corban Crowther, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.