Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 04/10, 03:30
Prediction: Natsuki Yamamoto vs Yuga Tashiro
Team pages: Natsuki Yamamoto · Yuga Tashiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Natsuki Yamamoto
Yuga Tashiro
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Natsuki Yamamoto
7-3 (W-L)
Yuga Tashiro
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Natsuki Yamamoto
0–1
Yuga Tashiro
(1 last)
- 21 Aug0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natsuki Yamamoto 1581 · Yuga Tashiro 1550
| Natsuki Yamamoto | Yuga Tashiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Natsuki Yamamoto 0–1 Yuga Tashiro (1).
- Note: Natsuki Yamamoto makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Natsuki Yamamoto | Yuga Tashiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.8 | 10.5-7.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 39% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
H2H · Natsuki Yamamoto 0 – 1 Yuga Tashiro (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Natsuki Yamamoto 0–1 Yuga Tashiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/25 UTR Pro Yokohama | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natsuki Yamamoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Takumi Katsuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Yuga Tashiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Shotaro Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Kirill Kistanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Shohei Chikami UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Dan Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natsuki Yamamoto vs Yuga Tashiro?
Our model gives 64% to Yuga Tashiro, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.