Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 04/10, 04:20
Prediction: Kirill Kistanov vs Kenta Kawada
Team pages: Kirill Kistanov · Kenta Kawada
Prediction summary
Winner
Kirill Kistanov
Kenta Kawada
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kirill Kistanov
1-9 (W-L)
Kenta Kawada
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kirill Kistanov 1410 · Kenta Kawada 1441
| Kirill Kistanov | Kenta Kawada | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kenta Kawada makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Kirill Kistanov | Kenta Kawada | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.8 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-14.2 | 10.1-11 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 53.5% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kirill Kistanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/10 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 01/10 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Shotaro Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 27/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Christopher Kosei Ono UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Sota Uranaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Kuranosuke Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Kenta Kawada
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Shotaro Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Masaki Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kirill Kistanov vs Kenta Kawada?
Our model gives 57% to Kenta Kawada, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.