Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 02/10, 02:00
Prediction: Ryota Tanuma vs Yuga Tashiro
Team pages: Ryota Tanuma · Yuga Tashiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryota Tanuma
Yuga Tashiro
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ryota Tanuma
3-7 (W-L)
Yuga Tashiro
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryota Tanuma
3–1
Yuga Tashiro
(4 last)
- 14 Mar2-0 12-5W
- 07 Mar2-0 12-8W
- 29 Nov1-2 15-13L
- 27 Apr2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryota Tanuma 1517 · Yuga Tashiro 1562
| Ryota Tanuma | Yuga Tashiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuga Tashiro (rating 1517 vs 1562).
- Yuga Tashiro is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ryota Tanuma 3–1 Yuga Tashiro (4).
Statistics
| Ryota Tanuma | Yuga Tashiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.8 | 12.4-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Ryota Tanuma 3 – 1 Yuga Tashiro (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryota Tanuma 3–1 Yuga Tashiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/03/26 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/11/25 UTR Pro Kakogawa | 1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 27/04/25 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryota Tanuma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/09 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Jerry Roddick M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Naoya Honda M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Mao Takada M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/09 | Naoki Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Yuta Kawahashi M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Kai-I Wang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/08 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Yuga Tashiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Shotaro Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Kirill Kistanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Shohei Chikami UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Dan Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Yuto Miyagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Hong-Lin Fu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryota Tanuma vs Yuga Tashiro?
Our model gives 56% to Ryota Tanuma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.