Prediction: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi
Team pages: Kyrian Jacquet · Luciano Darderi
Prediction summary
Winner
Kyrian Jacquet
Luciano Darderi
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kyrian Jacquet
6-4 (W-L)
Luciano Darderi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kyrian Jacquet 1539 · Luciano Darderi 1530
| Kyrian Jacquet | Luciano Darderi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Luciano Darderi makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Kyrian Jacquet | Luciano Darderi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.5-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.4 | 13-13.3 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.2% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 27.5% | 25.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -0.6
Over 23.5: 46% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 54% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kyrian Jacquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Holger Rune ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Andrey Rublev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Lautaro Midon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Luciano Darderi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Casper Ruud ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 05/09 | Dane Sweeny US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-18 | W |
| 31/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi?
Our model gives 53% to Luciano Darderi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.