Tennis · Challenger Porto · 01/10, 13:30
Prediction: Edas Butvilas vs Moez Echargui
Team pages: Edas Butvilas · Moez Echargui
Prediction summary
Winner
Edas Butvilas
Moez Echargui
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Edas Butvilas
6-4 (W-L)
Moez Echargui
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Edas Butvilas
1–2
Moez Echargui
(3 last)
- 22 Jun1-2 14-16L
- 13 Oct2-0 12-6W
- 01 Aug1-2 12-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edas Butvilas 1533 · Moez Echargui 1519
| Edas Butvilas | Moez Echargui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Edas Butvilas 1–2 Moez Echargui (3).
Statistics
| Edas Butvilas | Moez Echargui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.2 | 12.4-12.5 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 36.5% | 32.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Edas Butvilas 1 – 2 Moez Echargui (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Edas Butvilas 1–2 Moez Echargui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/26 Wimbledon | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/10/25 Challenger Olbia | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08/25 Challenger Porto | 1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edas Butvilas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Michael Geerts Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Grigor Dimitrov Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Miomir Kecmanovic Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 11/09 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Remy Bertola Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Moez Echargui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Karl Poling Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 11/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 10/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 07/09 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Hugo Dellien US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edas Butvilas vs Moez Echargui?
Our model gives 59% to Edas Butvilas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.