Tennis · Challenger Porto · 01/10, 15:30
Prediction: Tiago Pereira vs Hugo Grenier
Team pages: Tiago Pereira · Hugo Grenier
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Pereira
Hugo Grenier
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Pereira
5-5 (W-L)
Hugo Grenier
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Pereira 1497 · Hugo Grenier 1504
| Tiago Pereira | Hugo Grenier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Hugo Grenier makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Tiago Pereira | Hugo Grenier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.5 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-15.4 | 10.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Pavlos Tsitsipas Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 15/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 13/09 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 10/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Hugo Grenier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Christian Langmo Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Roman Safiullin ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Neil Oberleitner ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Pereira vs Hugo Grenier?
Our model gives 54% to Hugo Grenier, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.