Prediction: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery
Team pages: Jaime Faria · Arthur Fery
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaime Faria
Arthur Fery
Estimated games
24.8Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jaime Faria
6-4 (W-L)
Arthur Fery
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaime Faria 1520 · Arthur Fery 1520
| Jaime Faria | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jaime Faria dominates on serve: 9.7 aces and 43.5% break avg.
- Note: Jaime Faria makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Jaime Faria | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.3 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-14.4 | 12.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 9.7 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 55.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1.3
Over 23.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 41% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaime Faria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Hugo Gaston ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Terence Atmane ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 03/09 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 11-22 | L |
| 30/08 | Jenson Brooksby US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
| 20/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Adam Walton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 17/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Arthur Fery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Lorenzo Musetti US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 29/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/08 | James Duckworth ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 08/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery?
Our model gives 50% to Jaime Faria, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.