Tennis · Challenger Porto · 01/10, 12:00
Prediction: Mili Poljicak vs Henrique Rocha
Team pages: Mili Poljicak · Henrique Rocha
Prediction summary
Winner
Mili Poljicak
Henrique Rocha
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mili Poljicak
4-6 (W-L)
Henrique Rocha
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mili Poljicak 1489 · Henrique Rocha 1518
| Mili Poljicak | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mili Poljicak | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.1 | 12.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 28.1% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mili Poljicak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Max Basing Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Vaal Urankar M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Alexandre Muller Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 29/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Henrique Rocha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Michael Mmoh US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Seong Chan Hong Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mili Poljicak vs Henrique Rocha?
Our model gives 66% to Henrique Rocha, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.