Prediction: Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Team pages: Tomas Martin Etcheverry · Stefanos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
24.4Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
4-6 (W-L)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
0–2
Stefanos Tsitsipas
(2 last)
- 26 May0-3 12-19L
- 10 Apr0-2 1-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Martin Etcheverry 1475 · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1581
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefanos Tsitsipas (rating 1475 vs 1581).
- Stefanos Tsitsipas is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Tomas Martin Etcheverry 0–2 Stefanos Tsitsipas (2).
Statistics
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.9-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12 | 15.2-12.9 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 32.9% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.9
Over 22.5: 63% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 37% · 1.90
H2H · Tomas Martin Etcheverry 0 – 2 Stefanos Tsitsipas (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tomas Martin Etcheverry 0–2 Stefanos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/25 French Open | 0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 10/04/24 ATP Monte Carlo | 0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/09 | Mariano Navone US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Vit Kopriva US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Terence Atmane ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Ignacio Buse ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Stefanos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Yoshihito Nishioka ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Alex Molcan Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/09 | Norbert Gombos Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Ben Shelton US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 04/09 | Jiri Lehecka US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-20 | W |
| 31/08 | Arthur Fils US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 27/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Stefanos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 69% to Stefanos Tsitsipas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.