Prediction: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Rafael Jodar
Team pages: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · Rafael Jodar
Prediction summary
Winner
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Rafael Jodar
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
7-3 (W-L)
Rafael Jodar
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1517 · Rafael Jodar 1571
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rafael Jodar (rating 1517 vs 1571).
Statistics
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.4 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-13.8 | 12-9.6 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3.4
Over 19.5: 72% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 28% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Jaime Faria ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 28/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Coleman Wong ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Jie Cui ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Ignacio Buse Davis Cup |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 19/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Gael Monfils US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 9-20 | L |
| 25/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/08 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Rafael Jodar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Alexander Bublik Laver Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Cristian Garin Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 4-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 13/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Rafael Jodar?
Our model gives 71% to Rafael Jodar, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.