Tennis · W15 Nashville · 29/09, 18:30
Prediction: Serafima Elizarova vs Kristina Paskauskas
Team pages: Serafima Elizarova · Kristina Paskauskas
Prediction summary
Winner
Serafima Elizarova
Kristina Paskauskas
Estimated games
18.8
Recent form · 10 last
Serafima Elizarova
2-8 (W-L)
Kristina Paskauskas
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Serafima Elizarova 1437 · Kristina Paskauskas 1528
| Serafima Elizarova | Kristina Paskauskas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Paskauskas (rating 1437 vs 1528).
- Kristina Paskauskas is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Serafima Elizarova | Kristina Paskauskas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.5 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.1-10.2 | 10.6-7.5 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 49% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 3.5% | 58.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Serafima Elizarova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Florence |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 06/07 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Sadira Ouyang UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Ishika Ashar UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Violeta Martinez UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Taylor Goetz UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Kaya Moe W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Alana Smith W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Kristina Paskauskas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Coco Bosman W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Angella Okutoyi W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Sara Milanese W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Dia Evtimova W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Yuliya Perapekhina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Matilde Mariani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Anja Casari W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Mirabelle Tahiri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/12 | Haley Giavara ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Serafima Elizarova vs Kristina Paskauskas?
Our model gives 76% to Kristina Paskauskas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.