Tennis · W15 Nashville · 01/10, 17:00
Prediction: Salma Drugdova vs Carlota Moreno
Team pages: Salma Drugdova · Carlota Moreno
Prediction summary
Winner
Salma Drugdova
Carlota Moreno
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Salma Drugdova
4-6 (W-L)
Carlota Moreno
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salma Drugdova 1491 · Carlota Moreno 1568
| Salma Drugdova | Carlota Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlota Moreno (rating 1491 vs 1568).
- Carlota Moreno is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Salma Drugdova makes many double faults (6.2/match).
- Note: Carlota Moreno makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Salma Drugdova | Carlota Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11 | 13.2-10 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 68% |
| Break % | 60.7% | 57.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salma Drugdova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W15 Nashville |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/08 | Darya Velikova W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Alexa Karatancheva W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Karolina Mrazikova W100 Amstetten |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Lena Ramharter W100 Amstetten |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Aneta Laboutkova W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Eszter Meri W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Stefania Bojica W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Paula Cembranos W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Arina Bulatova W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Carlota Moreno
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Maria Sholokhova W15 Nashville |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Jensen Diianni W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/09 | Luciana Perry UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Alice Battesti UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/09 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Sarah Mildren UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 05/08 | Annika Penickova W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 04/08 | Ahmani Guichard W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salma Drugdova vs Carlota Moreno?
Our model gives 64% to Carlota Moreno, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.