Tennis · W15 Nashville · 30/09, 17:00
Prediction: Eva Maria Ionescu vs Francesca Mattioli
Team pages: Eva Maria Ionescu · Francesca Mattioli
Prediction summary
Winner
Eva Maria Ionescu
Francesca Mattioli
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Eva Maria Ionescu
6-4 (W-L)
Francesca Mattioli
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Maria Ionescu 1545 · Francesca Mattioli 1520
| Eva Maria Ionescu | Francesca Mattioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Francesca Mattioli makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Eva Maria Ionescu | Francesca Mattioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.3 | 11.2-8.3 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 6.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 47% | 58.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Maria Ionescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Emily Welker UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Mia Kupres UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Amy Gray UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Yoana Konstantinova UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Iva Sepa UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Violeta Martinez UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Elena Pridankina WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Galati · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Alexandra Irina Anghel W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Iulia Maria Buculei W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Francesca Mattioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Emmie Moore UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/09 | Saray Yli-Piipari UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Rebeca Pereira W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Alisa Danilova W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Maria Ionescu vs Francesca Mattioli?
Our model gives 50% to Eva Maria Ionescu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.