Tennis · W15 Nashville · 30/09, 17:30

Prediction: Chiara Di Genova vs Amelie Justine Hejtmanek

Team pages: Chiara Di Genova · Amelie Justine Hejtmanek

Prediction summary
Winner
28% 72%
Chiara Di Genova Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Chiara Di Genova 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLWLLW
Amelie Justine Hejtmanek 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chiara Di Genova 1461 · Amelie Justine Hejtmanek 1561
Chiara Di GenovaAmelie Justine Hejtmanek
Our model36%64%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amelie Justine Hejtmanek (rating 1461 vs 1561).
  • Amelie Justine Hejtmanek is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Amelie Justine Hejtmanek makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Chiara Di GenovaAmelie Justine Hejtmanek
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 20% (5) –
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.21.4-0.8
Games (G-P)8-10.59.8-9.7
Aces0.71.6
Double faults25
1st serve %53.2%65.5%
Break %39.7%34.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chiara Di Genova

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Trinetra Vijayakumar
W15 Nashville
2-0 14-12 W
13/09 Sarah Mildren
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
10/09 Stefani Webb
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
09/09 Julia Zhu
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
08/09 Alice Soulie
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
08/09 Lisa Kamigata
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
15/07 Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W35 Sao Paulo
0-2 4-12 L
14/07 Beatriz Guerra
W35 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-2 W
13/07 Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
W35 Sao Paulo
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez
W15 Rio Claro
1-2 7-16 L

Amelie Justine Hejtmanek

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Martina Colmegna
W35 Trieste
0-2 4-12 L
26/08 Alessia Antici
W35 Trieste
2-0 12-6 W
24/08 Barbora Michalkova
W35 Trieste
2-0 13-9 W
17/08 Karolina Mrazikova
W35 Krakow
0-2 3-12 L
09/08 Laura Hietaranta
W15 Hameenlinna
2-1 14-14 W
08/08 Victoria Pohle
W15 Hameenlinna
2-0 7-3 W
07/08 Madelief Hageman
W15 Hameenlinna
2-1 14-15 W
06/08 Alice Soulie
W15 Hameenlinna
2-0 13-9 W
05/08 Milana Maslenkova
W15 Hameenlinna
2-0 12-5 W
27/07 Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
W75 Hechingen
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chiara Di Genova vs Amelie Justine Hejtmanek?

Our model gives 72% to Amelie Justine Hejtmanek, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.