Tennis · W15 Nashville · 30/09, 17:30

Prediction: Merna Refaat vs Alice Soulie

Team pages: Merna Refaat · Alice Soulie

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Merna Refaat Alice Soulie
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Merna Refaat 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWWLLLWL
Alice Soulie 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Merna Refaat 1547 · Alice Soulie 1533
Merna RefaatAlice Soulie
Our model52%48%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Merna Refaat makes many double faults (5.9/match).

Statistics

Merna RefaatAlice Soulie
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.11.4-1
Games (G-P)12.5-11.111.1-8.4
Aces0.81.2
Double faults5.92.4
1st serve %61.7%62.2%
Break %51.1%51.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Merna Refaat

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/11 Anastasia Gasanova
ITF W50 Austin · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
13/11 Cristina R Sierra
ITF W50 Austin · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
12/11 Katherine Sebov
ITF W50 Austin · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
11/11 Mia Kupres
ITF W50 Austin · Hard
2-1 14-11 W
24/10 Francesca Pace
ITF W35 Norman · Hard
1-2 15-18 L
23/10 Lucia Peyre
ITF W35 Norman · Hard
2-1 16-9 W
22/10 Evialina Laskevich
ITF W35 Norman · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
21/10 Laura Brunkel
ITF W35 Norman · Hard
2-0 11-5 W
15/10 Renata Zarazua
ITF W100 Macon · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
14/10 Carmen Andreea Herea
ITF W100 Macon · Hard
2-1 18-12 W

Alice Soulie

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Liv Hovde
W15 Nashville
2-1 11-8 W
12/09 Teodora Ristic
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
11/09 Lisa Kamigata
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
10/09 Julia Zhu
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
08/09 Chiara Di Genova
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
08/09 Stefani Webb
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
06/08 Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
W15 Hameenlinna
0-2 9-13 L
05/08 Clarissa Blomqvist
W15 Hameenlinna
2-0 12-2 W
04/08 Carol Plakk
W15 Hameenlinna
2-0 12-3 W
28/07 Manon Favier
W15 Savitaipale
1-2 9-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Merna Refaat vs Alice Soulie?

Our model gives 61% to Merna Refaat, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.