Tennis · W15 Nashville · 29/09, 20:00
Prediction: Ashley Lahey vs Karla Bartel
Team pages: Ashley Lahey · Karla Bartel
Prediction summary
Winner
Ashley Lahey
Karla Bartel
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ashley Lahey
6-4 (W-L)
Karla Bartel
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashley Lahey 1548 · Karla Bartel 1431
| Ashley Lahey | Karla Bartel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ashley Lahey (rating 1548 vs 1431).
- Ashley Lahey is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ashley Lahey | Karla Bartel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10 | 7.8-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 61% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashley Lahey
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Miriana Tona W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Defne Cirpanli W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Merel Hoedt W35 Reus · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 05/09 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/09 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Lucia Natal W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Ilinca D Amariei W15 Brasov |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Karla Bartel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Janae Preston W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Georgina Groth W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Sophie Bekker W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Eva Shaw W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 7-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Anna Orlando Pellicero W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Horb |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Georgina Groth W50 Horb |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 15/07 | Yuliya Perapekhina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Tamara Sramkova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashley Lahey vs Karla Bartel?
Our model gives 75% to Ashley Lahey, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

