Tennis · W15 Nashville · 29/09, 20:00

Prediction: Ashley Lahey vs Karla Bartel

Team pages: Ashley Lahey · Karla Bartel

Prediction summary
Winner
75% 25%
Ashley Lahey Karla Bartel
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ashley Lahey 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWWWLL
Karla Bartel 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ashley Lahey 1548 · Karla Bartel 1431
Ashley LaheyKarla Bartel
Our model66%34%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ashley Lahey (rating 1548 vs 1431).
  • Ashley Lahey is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Ashley LaheyKarla Bartel
Win %70%30%
Win % · Clay 83% (6) –
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.90.6-1.6
Games (G-P)11.6-107.8-10.9
Aces2.42.2
Double faults2.23.3
1st serve %62.8%61%
Break %51.7%44.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ashley Lahey

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Miriana Tona
W50 Yecla
0-2 5-12 L
21/09 Isis Louise Van den Broek
W50 Yecla
0-2 7-13 L
20/09 Defne Cirpanli
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-7 W
09/09 Merel Hoedt
W35 Reus · ~Clay
1-2 9-15 L
06/09 Marianne Argyrokastriti
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-1 14-14 W
05/09 Ruth Roura Llaverias
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
04/09 Iva Primorac Pavicic
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
03/09 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
02/09 Lucia Natal
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
30/08 Ilinca D Amariei
W15 Brasov
2-1 17-13 W

Karla Bartel

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Janae Preston
W50 Berkeley
0-2 3-12 L
17/08 Georgina Groth
W35 Erwitte
0-2 8-12 L
10/08 Sophie Bekker
W35 Aldershot
0-2 9-13 L
09/08 Eva Shaw
W35 Aldershot
2-1 7-8 W
02/08 Anna Orlando Pellicero
W75 Ourense
1-2 10-15 L
21/07 Loes Ebeling Koning
W50 Horb
0-2 6-13 L
20/07 Georgina Groth
W50 Horb
1-0 6-0 W
15/07 Yuliya Perapekhina
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
10/07 Sofia Camila Rojas
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
09/07 Tamara Sramkova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 17-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ashley Lahey vs Karla Bartel?

Our model gives 75% to Ashley Lahey, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.