Tennis · Challenger Porto · 29/09, 15:00
Prediction: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Jacob Fearnley
Team pages: Alejo Sanchez Quilez · Jacob Fearnley
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Jacob Fearnley
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
6-4 (W-L)
Jacob Fearnley
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejo Sanchez Quilez 1517 · Jacob Fearnley 1509
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jacob Fearnley makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.5-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.8 | 14-13.9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 7.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Alexander Donski Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Jacob Fearnley
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
| 31/08 | Martin Landaluce US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-22 | W |
| 28/08 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Luka Pavlovic US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Roberto Carballes Baena US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Jacob Fearnley?
Our model gives 65% to Jacob Fearnley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.