Tennis · Challenger Porto · 29/09, 12:00
Prediction: Fausto Tabacco vs Daniel Rincon
Team pages: Fausto Tabacco · Daniel Rincon
Prediction summary
Winner
Fausto Tabacco
Daniel Rincon
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Fausto Tabacco
5-5 (W-L)
Daniel Rincon
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fausto Tabacco 1569 · Daniel Rincon 1466
| Fausto Tabacco | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fausto Tabacco (rating 1569 vs 1466).
- Fausto Tabacco is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Fausto Tabacco makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Fausto Tabacco | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.6 | 10.8-12.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fausto Tabacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Adria Soriano Barrera M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Goncalo Marques M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Daniel Rincon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/09 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Jordan Lee US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Titouan Droguet US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 04/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fausto Tabacco vs Daniel Rincon?
Our model gives 54% to Daniel Rincon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.