Tennis · Challenger Porto · 29/09, 16:30
Prediction: Edas Butvilas vs Michael Geerts
Team pages: Edas Butvilas · Michael Geerts
Prediction summary
Winner
Edas Butvilas
Michael Geerts
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Edas Butvilas
6-4 (W-L)
Michael Geerts
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Edas Butvilas
1–1
Michael Geerts
(2 last)
- 16 Feb0-2 8-13L
- 27 Aug2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edas Butvilas 1508 · Michael Geerts 1539
| Edas Butvilas | Michael Geerts | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Michael Geerts makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Edas Butvilas | Michael Geerts | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.5 | 12.6-12.1 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 72.7% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Edas Butvilas 1 – 1 Michael Geerts (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Edas Butvilas 1–1 Michael Geerts
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/26 Challenger New Delhi | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/08/25 Challenger Manacor | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edas Butvilas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Grigor Dimitrov Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Miomir Kecmanovic Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 11/09 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Remy Bertola Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Michael Geerts
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Joao Domingues Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 27/09 | Vladyslav Orlov Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Billy Blaydes Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Koksijde |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Robert M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edas Butvilas vs Michael Geerts?
Our model gives 64% to Edas Butvilas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.