Tennis · Challenger Porto · 29/09, 13:30
Prediction: Anton Matusevich vs Andrea Guerrieri
Team pages: Anton Matusevich · Andrea Guerrieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Anton Matusevich
Andrea Guerrieri
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Anton Matusevich
8-2 (W-L)
Andrea Guerrieri
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anton Matusevich 1564 · Andrea Guerrieri 1536
| Anton Matusevich | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Andrea Guerrieri makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Anton Matusevich | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-10.8 | 12.7-12.6 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 76.9% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anton Matusevich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 27/09 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Mark Ceban Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Andrea Guerrieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 21/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Alex De Minaur US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Joel Schwaerzler US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/08 | August Holmgren US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anton Matusevich vs Andrea Guerrieri?
Our model gives 51% to Andrea Guerrieri, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.