Tennis · W75 Quinta Do Lago · 29/09, 11:00
Prediction: Francisca Jorge vs Teresa Franco Dias
Team pages: Francisca Jorge · Teresa Franco Dias
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisca Jorge
Teresa Franco Dias
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Francisca Jorge
5-5 (W-L)
Teresa Franco Dias
0-10 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisca Jorge 1502 · Teresa Franco Dias 1403
| Francisca Jorge | Teresa Franco Dias | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 96% | 4% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francisca Jorge (rating 1502 vs 1403).
- Francisca Jorge is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Teresa Franco Dias makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Francisca Jorge | Teresa Franco Dias | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 0.2-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.4 | 4.7-12.2 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 49.4% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisca Jorge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Mia Pohankova WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 17/09 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Xinyu Gao WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Anastasia Gasanova W50 Evora |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Evora |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W50 Evora |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Chelsea Fontenel W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Mia Ristic US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Teresa Franco Dias
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Greet Minnen W50 Evora |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Ekaterina Yashina W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Madalena Matias W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Indianna Spink W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Diana Marcinkevica W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 28/04 | Sorana Matis W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Selina Atay W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisca Jorge vs Teresa Franco Dias?
Our model gives 82% to Francisca Jorge, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.