Tennis · W75 Quinta Do Lago · 01/10, 11:00
Prediction: Naiktha Bains vs Polona Hercog
Team pages: Naiktha Bains · Polona Hercog
Prediction summary
Winner
Naiktha Bains
Polona Hercog
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Naiktha Bains
4-6 (W-L)
Polona Hercog
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naiktha Bains 1526 · Polona Hercog 1460
| Naiktha Bains | Polona Hercog | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naiktha Bains (rating 1526 vs 1460).
Statistics
| Naiktha Bains | Polona Hercog | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.1 | 10.5-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naiktha Bains
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Sahaja Yamalapalli WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Madalena Santos WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/09 | Fiona Crawley W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Emily Appleton W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Lina Glushko W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Victoria Allen W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Polona Hercog
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Ayana Akli W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 14/09 | Julie Struplova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Moyuka Uchijima US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Laura Pigossi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Dalila Jakupovic WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Ayla Aksu W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/05 | Lucrezia Stefanini W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naiktha Bains vs Polona Hercog?
Our model gives 54% to Naiktha Bains, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.