Tennis · W75 Quinta Do Lago · 02/10, 11:00
Prediction: Margaux Rouvroy vs Susan Bandecchi
Team pages: Margaux Rouvroy · Susan Bandecchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Margaux Rouvroy
Susan Bandecchi
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Margaux Rouvroy
3-7 (W-L)
Susan Bandecchi
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Margaux Rouvroy
1–0
Susan Bandecchi
(1 last)
- 26 Mar2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Margaux Rouvroy 1480 · Susan Bandecchi 1556
| Margaux Rouvroy | Susan Bandecchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Susan Bandecchi (rating 1480 vs 1556).
- Susan Bandecchi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Margaux Rouvroy 1–0 Susan Bandecchi (1).
Statistics
| Margaux Rouvroy | Susan Bandecchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.9 | 12.6-7.7 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.5% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Margaux Rouvroy 1 – 0 Susan Bandecchi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Margaux Rouvroy 1–0 Susan Bandecchi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/25 ITF W35 Terrassa | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Margaux Rouvroy
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Katherine Sebov W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Paula Ortega Redondo W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/09 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Amandine Hesse W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Sofia Johnson WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Matilde Jorge W50 Evora |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hannah Klugman W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Yeon Woo Ku W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Sofya Lansere W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Alice Rame WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Susan Bandecchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Lea Nilsson W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Giulia Pereira De Aguiar W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Oceane Dodin WTA Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Lisa Pigato WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Maria Martinez Vaquero WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Arantxa Rus US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Viktoria Hruncakova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Alina Charaeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Alana Smith W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Margaux Rouvroy vs Susan Bandecchi?
Our model gives 70% to Susan Bandecchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.