Tennis · W75 Quinta Do Lago · 02/10, 12:30
Prediction: Francisca Jorge vs Eva Vedder
Team pages: Francisca Jorge · Eva Vedder
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisca Jorge
Eva Vedder
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Francisca Jorge
6-4 (W-L)
Eva Vedder
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francisca Jorge
0–1
Eva Vedder
(1 last)
- 28 Jun0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisca Jorge 1531 · Eva Vedder 1479
| Francisca Jorge | Eva Vedder | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francisca Jorge (rating 1531 vs 1479).
- Head-to-head: Francisca Jorge 0–1 Eva Vedder (1).
Statistics
| Francisca Jorge | Eva Vedder | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.4 | 10-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Francisca Jorge 0 – 1 Eva Vedder (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francisca Jorge 0–1 Eva Vedder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/25 W50 Palma del Rio | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisca Jorge
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Kylie Collins W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Teresa Franco Dias W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Mia Pohankova WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 17/09 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Xinyu Gao WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Anastasia Gasanova W50 Evora |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Evora |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W50 Evora |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Chelsea Fontenel W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Eva Vedder
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Harmony Tan W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Caroline Werner W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/09 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/09 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Samira De Stefano WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Bianca Andreescu US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Sohyun Park W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Mona Barthel WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Georgina Garcia-Perez WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisca Jorge vs Eva Vedder?
Our model gives 57% to Francisca Jorge, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.