Tennis · W75 Quinta Do Lago · 30/09, 11:00
Prediction: Ayana Akli vs Polona Hercog
Team pages: Ayana Akli · Polona Hercog
Prediction summary
Winner
Ayana Akli
Polona Hercog
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ayana Akli
5-5 (W-L)
Polona Hercog
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ayana Akli 1493 · Polona Hercog 1429
| Ayana Akli | Polona Hercog | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ayana Akli (rating 1493 vs 1429).
Statistics
| Ayana Akli | Polona Hercog | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.7 | 9.4-12.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ayana Akli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/09 | Anouk Koevermans WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Mia Ristic US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Anastasia Zakharova W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Priscilla Hon W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/08 | Anastasia Kulikova W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Fiona Crawley W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Hanna Chang W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Polona Hercog
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 14/09 | Julie Struplova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Moyuka Uchijima US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Laura Pigossi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Dalila Jakupovic WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Ayla Aksu W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/05 | Lucrezia Stefanini W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/05 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ayana Akli vs Polona Hercog?
Our model gives 61% to Ayana Akli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.