Tennis · W75 Quinta Do Lago · 30/09, 11:00
Prediction: Naiktha Bains vs Maria Martinez Vaquero
Team pages: Naiktha Bains · Maria Martinez Vaquero
Prediction summary
Winner
Naiktha Bains
Maria Martinez Vaquero
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Naiktha Bains
4-6 (W-L)
Maria Martinez Vaquero
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Naiktha Bains
1–0
Maria Martinez Vaquero
(1 last)
- 08 Apr2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naiktha Bains 1520 · Maria Martinez Vaquero 1426
| Naiktha Bains | Maria Martinez Vaquero | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naiktha Bains (rating 1520 vs 1426).
- Naiktha Bains is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Naiktha Bains 1–0 Maria Martinez Vaquero (1).
- Note: Maria Martinez Vaquero makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Naiktha Bains | Maria Martinez Vaquero | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.4-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.6 | 7-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 55.4% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Naiktha Bains 1 – 0 Maria Martinez Vaquero (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Naiktha Bains 1–0 Maria Martinez Vaquero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/24 ITF W100 Zaragoza | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naiktha Bains
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Sahaja Yamalapalli WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Madalena Santos WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/09 | Fiona Crawley W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Emily Appleton W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Lina Glushko W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Victoria Allen W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 01/08 | Adithya Karunaratne W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Maria Martinez Vaquero
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Sahaja Yamalapalli WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Anastasia Gasanova W50 Evora |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Isabella Marton W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Anna Siskova W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Tilwith Di Girolami W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Julie Myatovic W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Lola Giza W50 Horb |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naiktha Bains vs Maria Martinez Vaquero?
Our model gives 68% to Naiktha Bains, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.