Tennis · W75 Quinta Do Lago · 30/09, 11:00
Prediction: Lisa Pigato vs Jasmijn Gimbrere
Team pages: Lisa Pigato · Jasmijn Gimbrere
Prediction summary
Winner
Lisa Pigato
Jasmijn Gimbrere
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lisa Pigato
8-2 (W-L)
Jasmijn Gimbrere
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lisa Pigato
0–1
Jasmijn Gimbrere
(1 last)
- 04 Jun0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lisa Pigato 1582 · Jasmijn Gimbrere 1445
| Lisa Pigato | Jasmijn Gimbrere | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lisa Pigato (rating 1582 vs 1445).
- Lisa Pigato is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Lisa Pigato 0–1 Jasmijn Gimbrere (1).
- Note: Jasmijn Gimbrere makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Lisa Pigato | Jasmijn Gimbrere | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.7 | 8.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 56.2% |
| Break % | 48% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Lisa Pigato 0 – 1 Jasmijn Gimbrere (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lisa Pigato 0–1 Jasmijn Gimbrere
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/25 W35 Klagenfurt | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lisa Pigato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Sana Garakani WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/08 | Linda Klimovicova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Angela Fita Boluda WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 04/07 | Alice Tubello W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Laima Vladson W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Jasmijn Gimbrere
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Paula Cembranos W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Manon Arcangioli W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Sohyun Park W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 12/08 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Laima Vladson W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Georgina Groth W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Louna Zoppas W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lisa Pigato vs Jasmijn Gimbrere?
Our model gives 81% to Lisa Pigato, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.