Prediction: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Jaime Faria
Team pages: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · Jaime Faria
Prediction summary
Winner
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Jaime Faria
Estimated games
24.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
7-3 (W-L)
Jaime Faria
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
0–1
Jaime Faria
(1 last)
- 04 May1-2 13-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1489 · Jaime Faria 1555
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Jaime Faria | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jaime Faria (rating 1489 vs 1555).
- Jaime Faria dominates on serve: 9.3 aces and 49.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 0–1 Jaime Faria (1).
- Note: Jaime Faria makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Jaime Faria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.7-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-12.8 | 14-13.4 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 9.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.4
Over 22.5: 66% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 34% · 1.83
H2H · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 0 – 1 Jaime Faria (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 0–1 Jaime Faria
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 ATP Rome | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Coleman Wong ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Jie Cui ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Ignacio Buse Davis Cup |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 19/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Gael Monfils US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 9-20 | L |
| 25/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/08 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Jaime Faria
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Hugo Gaston ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Terence Atmane ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 03/09 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 11-22 | L |
| 30/08 | Jenson Brooksby US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
| 20/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Adam Walton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 17/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Yibing Wu ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Jaime Faria?
Our model gives 60% to Jaime Faria, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.