Prediction: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak
Team pages: Arthur Fils · Kamil Majchrzak
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Fils
Kamil Majchrzak
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Fils
8-2 (W-L)
Kamil Majchrzak
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arthur Fils
1–0
Kamil Majchrzak
(1 last)
- 16 Feb2-1 18-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Fils 1613 · Kamil Majchrzak 1476
| Arthur Fils | Kamil Majchrzak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Fils (rating 1613 vs 1476).
- Arthur Fils dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 48.2% break avg.
- Kamil Majchrzak dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 42.7% break avg.
- Arthur Fils is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Arthur Fils 1–0 Kamil Majchrzak (1).
Statistics
| Arthur Fils | Kamil Majchrzak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-9.8 | 12.4-12.7 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.3
Over 21.5: 66% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 34% · 1.83
H2H · Arthur Fils 1 – 0 Kamil Majchrzak (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arthur Fils 1–0 Kamil Majchrzak
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/26 ATP Doha | 2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Fils
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Martin Damm ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
| 23/08 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Kamil Majchrzak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Alex De Minaur Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | James Duckworth Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Valentin Vacherot US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-23 | L |
| 30/08 | Hamad Medjedovic US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Gael Monfils ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak?
Our model gives 73% to Arthur Fils, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.