Tennis · ATP Tokyo · 29/09, 05:00

Prediction: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

Team pages: Jaume Munar · Aleksandar Kovacevic

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Jaume Munar Aleksandar Kovacevic
Estimated games
25.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jaume Munar 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWLLLLWL
Aleksandar Kovacevic 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWWWWLLL
Head-to-head
Jaume Munar 0–1 Aleksandar Kovacevic (1 last)
  • 23 Mar1-2 13-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jaume Munar 1524 · Aleksandar Kovacevic 1502
Jaume MunarAleksandar Kovacevic
Our model53%47%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Jaume Munar dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 42% break avg.
  • Aleksandar Kovacevic dominates on serve: 9.9 aces and 42.9% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Jaume Munar 0–1 Aleksandar Kovacevic (1).
  • Note: Aleksandar Kovacevic makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Jaume MunarAleksandar Kovacevic
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-1.51.2-1.3
Games (G-P)16-1512.6-13.3
Aces6.39.9
Double faults3.44.4
1st serve %71%79.5%
Break %42%42.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 25.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.4
Over 22.5: 72% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 28% · 1.83

H2H · Jaume Munar 0 – 1 Aleksandar Kovacevic (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jaume Munar 0–1 Aleksandar Kovacevic

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DateSetsGamesRes.
23/03/23
ATP Miami
1-213-15L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jaume Munar

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Marcos Giron
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-1 17-12 W
12/09 Facundo Diaz Acosta
Challenger Seville · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
11/09 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-1 14-8 W
08/09 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
02/09 Arthur Rinderknech
US Open · Hard
0-3 13-20 L
30/08 Terence Atmane
US Open · Hard
3-2 29-25 W
02/08 Rinky Hijikata
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
13/07 Dominic Stephan Stricker
ATP Gstaad · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
04/07 Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 18-22 L
02/07 Jacob Fearnley
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-14 W

Aleksandar Kovacevic

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Zachary Svajda
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
24/09 Lloyd Harris
ATP Chengdu · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
31/08 Valentin Vacherot
US Open · Hard
0-3 10-19 L
28/08 Arthur Fery
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
27/08 Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
25/08 Luca Van Assche
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
25/08 Felix Balshaw
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
16/08 Brandon Nakashima
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
15/08 Karen Khachanov
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 18-16 W
02/08 Nuno Borges
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 13-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic?

Our model gives 58% to Jaume Munar, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.